The
much anticipated Austin housing forecast for 2011 is predicting a slow
improvement through the first two quarters according to The Economist.
The uptick will likely begin in the third quarter and pick up momentum
in the fourth, positioning the opening months of 2012 to be prime for
listing a property.
Eldon
Rue, Director of the Austin Market for Metrostudy, the nation’s leading
provider of primary and secondary housing market information stated,
“For 2011, Metrostudy does expect the local market to show some
improvement over last year, resulting in slightly more home starts in
the area. However, we do not anticipate a surge in new home production
until 2012 when increased demand begins to result in increasing home
prices, setting the stage for builders to start more new homes.”
Re-sales
always compete with new development properties and right now, builders
are buying land although not building on it. So, if they are picking up
tracts and waiting for better times, and the normal period for
construction to actually begin is anywhere from 24 to 36 months, most
remaining new homes will have moved by January 2012 and the dominant
inventory will shift to re-sales
Of
course, inventory doesn't do anyone any good without buyers and Austin
is in a unique position in that regard. Our city government is awarding
tax incentives to encourage the creation of new jobs, and we benefit
from a very business-minded mayor and city council.
The
U.S.Bureau of Labor Statistics placed Austin number one on the list of
50 best-performing metro areas in July 2010 with year-over-year job
growth at 2.5 percent. Even as the recession was lingering across the
nation, our local economy picked up 18,600 jobs.
Now,
granted, not all of those jobs were going to "imports" or new
residents, but even if they weren't, each job created locally puts
purchasing power back in the hands of an Austinite who may be in the
market for a home in the months to come. The "imports" themselves may be
renters initially, but as they put down community roots, they rapidly
make the transition to potential buyers.
We
also have an edge in that a great deal of our local economy is
technology-driven -- about 13.2 percent over the national 4.1 percent.
Those jobs pay about twice the local average in wages -- again, that
translates to purchasing power. We're seeing a lot of emerging new
sectors like green energy (the Pflugerville solar farm with its 400,000
panels will be the largest in the nation) and enterprises that will come
in to support or augment the presence of the F1 track.
Austin and the Central Texas economy weathered the recession well. We are seeing good job growth and a steady return of the real estate market. As a homeowner, however, if you can wait out 2011, and list your property early in 2012, you should benefit from a much more active real estate climate, with stronger pricing and more purchasing power in the hands of potential buyers.
© 2011 REoutsourceSolutions









